Yankees 2010 Lineup Projections

I did this at my site last year, so I thought I’d bust it out again. What I’m going to be doing is punching in some numbers into the lineup analysis tool from baseballmusings.com.

The numbers I’m going to be using are the 2010 CHONE Projections. I’m using them because RLYW’s CAIRO projections for non-Yankees haven’t been released. This allows me to be a little more even when including non-Yankees. Anyway, I’ll be doing a few different lineup configurations and what I post here will not be the “optimized” lineup that the calculator spits out, but rather what I think the realistic lineup would be. The difference between and optimized lineup and a non-optimized lineup is generally not that great.

First up, the same lineup from last season, which would be:
1. Jeter
2. Damon
3. Teixiera
4. Rodriguez
5. Matsui
6. Posada
7. Cano
8. Swisher
9. Cabrera

This team would score an average of 5.704 runs per game, which over 162 games would be 924 runs. Fantastic.

Next, let’s run a slightly different scenario. Let’s say the Yankees bring back both Hideki Matsui and Johnny Damon, as well as adding Mike Cameron to play CF like I want them to. That would push Melky out of the everyday lineup and I imagine it would look like this:
1. Jeter
2. Damon
3. Tex
4. A-Rod
5. Matsui
6. Posada
7. Cano
8. Cameron
9. Swisher

This lineup would perform slightly worse than the previous one, at 5.678 runs per game (920 per 162), mostly because of an unfavorable projection to Mike Cameron (.321 OBP/.420 SLG) and a rather bullish projection for Melky Cabrera (.349/.427). I think Cameron will definitely perform above that and would expect Melky to play below his (though I’ll be very happy if he does meet that projection).

Another scenario I posited had Nick Johnson returning to the Yankees in a DH role. Let’s say this happens, and Johnny Damon is back. This is an unlikely scenario, but I like Nick Johnson a lot so let’s see how he’d affect the lineup:
1. Jeter
2. Johnson
3. Tex
4. Rodriguez
5. Damon
6. Posada
7. Cano
8. Swisher
9. Cabrera

This lineup would be pretty nasty. Johnson’s projected .395 OBP in front of Teixeira and Rodriguez would be incredible. On average, this team would score 5.735 runs per game, or 929 during the course of 162 games.

Let’s see what would happen if Damon left and Matsui returned. This creates a bit of a problem since there’s no internal choice to move over to left. For my selfish reasons, let’s assume Cameron in center and Cabrera in left:
1. Jeter
2. Swisher
3. Tex
4. Rodriguez
5. Matsui
6. Posada
7. Cano
8. Cameron
9. Cabrera

This team would pound out 5.684 runs per game, 920 through 162 games.

Here’s a doomsday scenario. Damon and Matsui leave and no other FA is brought in. This could get ugly.
1. Jeter
2. Cano
3. Tex
4. Rodriguez
5. Posada
6. Miranda
7. Cabrera
8. Swisher
9. Gardner

Surprisingly enough, this lineup doesn’t project to be all that awful, scoring 5.617 runs per game, 909 for the season. Juan Miranda’s projection: .330/.449; Brett Gardner’s .353/.380.

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33 Responses to Yankees 2010 Lineup Projections

  1. JP says:

    this is the lineup
    1-Jeter
    2-Granderson
    3-Tex
    4-ARod
    5-Posada
    6-Matsui
    7-Cano
    8-Damon
    9-Cabrera

  2. Not bad, how about
    1 – Jeter
    2 – Granderson
    3 – Teixeira
    4 – Arod
    5 – Holliday
    6- Posada
    7 – Swisher
    8 – Cano
    9 – Miranda

  3. Alec says:

    Damon better stop being greedy and take 8or9 mil.
    If he's here
    Jeter
    Damon
    Tex
    Arod
    Posada
    Swish
    Cano
    Curtis
    Melky

  4. mike says:

    1.Granderson
    2.Jeter
    3.Teixeira
    4.Rodriguez
    5.Nady
    6.Posada
    7.Cano
    8.Swisher
    9.Cabrera

  5. Rob Abruzzese says:

    I wouldn't mind seeing the Yankees retain Nady either, but it doesn't look like they're that interested. Maybe things will change.

  6. John says:

    Granderson
    Jeter
    Teixiera
    Rodriguez
    Nady
    Holliday
    Posada
    Cano
    Cabrera

  7. JP says:

    Jeter
    Johnson
    Tex
    ARod
    Granderson
    Posada
    Cano
    Damon
    Cabrera
    Drop Swisher and bring back Damon

  8. G-unit says:

    Jeter SS
    Damon LF
    Tex 1B
    A-Rod 3B
    Posada C
    Granderson CF
    Johnson DH
    Cano 2B
    Swisher RF

  9. yoyankeesfan123 says:

    here is the real lineup people.
    jeter
    damon
    teixera
    a-rod
    johnson
    posada
    cano
    granderson
    swisher

  10. richard says:

    jeter
    granderson
    tex
    arod
    johnson
    posada
    dye
    cano
    swisher

  11. richard says:

    Either way as long as A-rod and Teixeira stay healthy there to Strong! come on people we won the Series with 3 man Starting Rotation and Big MO. BOSTON SUCKS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  12. Mike D says:

    Jeter
    Johnson
    Tex
    A-rod
    Granderson
    Posada
    Cano
    swisher
    Gardner

  13. Milli2380 says:

    Come on people:

    Jeter
    Granderson
    Tex
    ARod
    Johnson
    Posada
    Swisher
    Cano
    Gardner/ Nady/ Damon

  14. JP says:

    Jeter
    Johnson
    Tex
    Arod
    Granderson
    Posada
    Cano
    Nady
    Swisher

  15. Deshi says:

    Jeter
    Johnson
    Tex
    A-rod
    Granderson
    Posada
    Cano
    swisher
    Gardner

  16. c-man says:

    Jeter
    Granderson
    Tex
    A-rod
    Posada
    Cano
    Johnson
    Winn
    Swisher

  17. Jimmy25 says:

    Jeter SS
    Johnson DH
    Tex 1B
    A-Rod 3B
    Posada C
    Cano 2B
    Granderson LF
    Swisher RF
    Gardner CF

  18. joefancan says:

    gardner cf
    jeter ss
    johnson dh
    arod 3b
    tex 1b
    cano 2b
    posada c
    winn rf
    granderson lf

  19. glenn says:

    Jeter
    Johnson
    Tex
    A-rod
    Cano
    Posada
    swish
    granderson
    winn/gardner

  20. jared says:

    Wow. This is the lineup, guaranteed
    Jeter ss 1. cc
    Johnson dh 2. aj
    tex 1b 3. andy
    arod 3b 4. javi
    posada c 5. joba/hughes
    cano 2b
    granderson cf
    swisher rf
    gardner lf

  21. Why are people still commenting on this? I wrote it in NOVEMBER!

    • Rob Abruzzese says:

      Yeah I know. I tried to write a new one with almost the same exact headline just to keep people from thinking this was current, but it hasn't stopped them. For some reason Google really likes this article. I blame them.

  22. Paul B. says:

    This is my lineup VS RHP

    1. Jeter – SS
    2. Granderson – CF
    3. Tex – 1B
    4. A.Rod – 3B
    5. Cano – 2B
    6. Posada – C
    7. Swisher – RF
    8. Johnson – DH
    9. Gardner – LF

    This is my lineup VS LHP

    1. Jeter – SS
    2. Winn – LF (Last season was a fluke for him, he'll be better this year against LHP)
    3. Tex – 1B
    4. A.Rod – 3B
    5. Cano – 2B
    6. Swisher – RF
    7. Posada – C
    8. Johnson – DH
    9. Granderson – CF (He'll never hit well against LHP)

  23. manuel alonso says:

    Jeter-SS
    Granderson-CF
    Texeira-1B
    A-rod-3B
    Posada-C
    Cano-2B
    Winn-LF
    Johnson-DH
    Swisher-RF

  24. Cody Janks says:

    SS Derek Jeter
    RF Nick Swisher
    1B Mark Teixeira
    3B Alex Rodriguez
    2B Robinson Cano
    DH Jorge Posada
    CF Curtis Granderson
    C Francisco Cervelli
    LF Brett Gardner

  25. ryan n. says:

    this is the real lineup

    1.JETER@ss
    2.Swisher@rf
    3.Teixeira@1b
    4.A-ROD@3b
    5.Cano@2b
    6.Posada@DH
    7.Granderson@cf
    8.Cervelli@c
    9.Gardner@lf

    Extra hitters.Nick Johnson,Colin Curtis,Ramiro Pena,Juan Miranda,Marcus Thames

  26. ryan n. says:

    This is the Yankees Starting Rotation

    1. CC Sabathia
    2. AJ Burnett
    3. Andy Pettite
    4. Javier Vazquez
    5. Phil Hughes (he deserves to be in the 3 spot)

    Yankees Releivers

    Alfredo Aceves
    David Robertson
    Chad Gaudin
    Boone Logan
    Chan Ho Park
    Damaso Marte
    Joba Chamberlain (8th inning Setupman)(For Mo)
    Dustin Mosely
    Sergio Mitre
    Mariano Rivera

  27. ryan n. says:

    OK this is the Trade Deadline Lineup

    1. Jeter.ss.1.cc
    2. Swisher.rf.2.aj
    3. Tex.1b/dh.3.javi
    4. A-rod.3b/dh (hit ur 600th hr already).4.pettite
    5. Cano.2b.5.hughes
    6. posada.c/dh
    7. Berkman.dh/1b
    8. Granderson.cf
    9. Cervelli/Gardner/Kearns/Curtis/Pena/Thames/