Updated Lineup Projections

Back in November, I ran through some possible Yankee lineups using the Lineup Analysis tool from Baseball Musings. Now with the trade for Curtis Granderson, I’m gonna throw up some Granderson-inclusive lineups.

Again, this is using the CHONE Projections for OBP and SLG.

Okay, first let’s assume that the Yankees are not adding any more outfielders and will just add a DH. For the first scenario, that DH is Johnny Damon
1. Jeter SS
2. Damon DH
3. Tex 1B
4. A-Rod 3B
5. Posada C
6. Granderson CF
7. Cano 2B
8. Swisher RF
9. Cabrera LF

This lineup would score 5.669 per game, or 918 during the course of the season.

Now let’s say Matsui is the DH, not Damon:
1. Jeter
2. Granderson
3. Tex
4. Rodriguez
5. Matsui
6. Posada
7. Cano
8. Swisher
9. Cabrera

5.710 R/G, 925/162 games. Nice.

Let’s put both Matsui (DH) and Damon (LF) in there and see what happens:
1. Jeter
2. Damon
3. Tex
4. A Rod
5. Matsui
6. Posada
7. Cano
8. Swisher
9. Granderson

5.679 R/G, 919/162G

My #3 choice for DH is Nick Johnson. Let’s see what he’d do to this lineup:
1. Jeter
2. Johnson
3. Tex
4. Rodriguez
5. Posada
6. Granderson
7. Cano
8. Swisher
9. Cabrera

5.735/G, 929/162G; Johnson’s projected .394 OBP is very, very dangerous in front of Tex/A-Rod.

That’s all I’ll run down for now. If anything else happens, I’ll be sure to update this list. Regardless of who’s added to this lineup, it’s likely going to be pretty dangerous.

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12 Responses to Updated Lineup Projections

  1. I am inclined with those slots, Matt. If JD returns, while I love Granderson's combination of speed and power, it would probably be best to keep JD second. He and Jeter combine for the best one-two punch atop an order in the game. Overall, I tend to adhere to the if-it-ain't-broke maxim. Plus, JD fans far less than Grandy, and his bat control is excellent for steering the ball through the hole with a runner on. If JD returns and Matsui doesn't, Grandy can bat fifth, sixth, or seventh. Should Matsui return, however, Matsui should return to the five-hole. With Granderson ninth, it would in effect add a second lead-off hitter and, with Jeter following, Grandy might well see better pitches to hit. It's hard to find a losing scenario with this.

    Of course, we'll see about JD and Matsui returning but, with the Hoffmann selection and getting Granderson, they have less leverage on the Yanks than before.

  2. "inclined to agree" with those slots, was what I meant to say.

  3. I personally like #3 the best. I just truly believe that Gardner should be starting over Melky. And statically it's been shown that Gardner is the superior centerfielder than Granderson.

  4. Steven, I love Gardner as his speed, both offensively and defensively. The guy can fly, and doesn't just cover lots of ground in center but takes good paths to and makes good judgments on balls. Definitely. But his bat was just lousy down the stretch. I hope that it was a good degree of rust, for he didn't play much. I am also willing to consider that Melky might not do as well in 2010 as he did last season. But as of right now, I can't see Gardner ahead of Melky on the depth chart. I just can't. I am all for giving younger players a chance to play. But Melky was on the whole better in 2009, and should be slotted ahead to start next year.

    Now, should he falter as Gardner did last year–though Gardner bounced back fairly well–I wouldn't lose a wink of sleep sitting him for Brett the Jet. Until then, he would really need to progress at the plate. I like Gardner's patience, but he allows himself to get behind in two-strike counts way too much. So often, he looks at good pitches to fall behind 0-1 or 1-2. It might be a matter of recognition that comes with experience, or just guessing wrong. But too often, he is just not aggressive enough at the plate. At the end of 2009, it was almost as if pitchers were daring him to hit fastballs down Broadway. He also needs to develop more line-drive/gap power, an area in which Melky is certainly far better.

    I don't dislike Gardner. His speed is outstanding, and he is excellent defensively. However, offensively, he still has a way to go.

  5. Well now with this rule 5 news, I think that somebody has to be traded. This kid they got sounds like he could even platoon with Granderson a little bit since he's supposed to do well against lefties. So I think it'll work itself out in a way.

  6. Brandon says:

    I'm not getting why everyone loves Nick Johnson.

    Also, I like Gardy more than Melky.

  7. Rob Abruzzese says:

    <blockquote cite="comment-219">

    Brandon: I’m not getting why everyone loves Nick Johnson.

    I think it's just the fact that a lot of Yankee fans probably regret the trade and that he's not a half bad ballplayer.

  8. Matt Imbrogno says:

    <blockquote cite="comment-219">

    Brandon: I’m not getting why everyone loves Nick Johnson.Also, I like Gardy more than Melky.

    .394 OBP.

  9. Johnson is not bad, but there is little real need for him, in effect a third first baseman. I liked him.

  10. Alec says:

    Go for branyan he's better power and pit him5th

  11. Rob Abruzzese says:

    <blockquote cite="comment-361">

    Alec: Go for branyan he’s better power and pit him5th

    Russell Branyan has a career .234 average and a .331 OBP. He hit just .193 with a .688 OPS after the All-Star break last year too. Do you still want him batting fifth?

  12. Matt Imbrogno says:

    <blockquote cite="comment-361">

    Alec: Go for branyan he’s better power and pit him5th

    I'm a fan of Branyan, but I think his full season of success with the M's is a one year thing.