2010 Player Previews: Alex Rodriguez

**NOTE**- This article is an updated version of my previous article Álex Rodríguez Set for a “Down” Season?, which gave a projection on A-Rods 2010 season.

2009: Going into the 2009 season Álex Rodríguez had two procedures on his hip the, first was to drain a cyst in his hip while the second was to repair a torn labrum found while the cyst was being drained. The surgery to repair the labrum put a strain on A-Rod’s psyche and in many interviews he even admitted that he often considered retirement.

Álex missed all of Spring Training and the whole first month of the season but return with a band on May 8th against the Orioles where he hit a 1st inning 3-Run HR. Although the injury did not affect his power, 17 HRs in the 1st half of the season even though he missed all of April, Álex’s average took a hit and at the all star break he was hitting a very average .256. He turned his season around after the break and put up huge numbers in both August and September. Álex also put together a huge game in the final regular season game where he hit 2 HR, one a grand slam, and 7 RBI. Now the Yankees sat at 103-59 and the big question remained: How would A-Rod perform in the Post Season?

Even though A-Rod didn’t win ALCS MVP or World Series MVP he was without question the Yankees Post Season MVP. Álex wound up hitting a phenomenal .365 in the playoffs with 6 HR and 18 RBI keeping all the critic’s mouths shut while leaving many fan’s mouths dropped to the floor. He seemed to have really gotten his act together and was playing with the team in mind hopefully it was not just an act and he can keep the pace come the 2010 season.

2009 Regular Season Totals: 78 Runs 127 Hits 30 HR 100 RBI 14 SB .286 AVG .402 OBP 9 Errors

2010: Ever since Álex Rodríguez was traded to the Yankees his every move has been magnified. When he has a slump everyone looks for a who, what, where, when, and why? He is also the only player in the MLB who has to hit 40 HR in a season or else it is considered a bad season, and since coming to the Yankees he has had “bad” seasons in the even years and “good” seasons in the odd years (he won MVP with the Yanks in ‘05 and ‘07).

His season averages in odd and even seasons are as follows:
Odd= 148 GP 168 Hits 44 HR 129 RBI 20 SB .307 AVG 11 Errors
Even= 149 GP 164 Hits 35 HR 110 RBI 20 SB .293 AVG 16 Errors

So it is clear that the differences are not huge but they are there, and I still don’t understand where those even seasons are “bad” I don’t care who it is I will take that production every season from A-Rod. It will be interesting to see how his production changes without protection from Hideki Matsui and without Johnny Damon getting on base in the two hole. The Yankees won’t need A-Rod to carry them in the regular season, but it will be essential for him to repeat his performance in the ’09 playoffs if the Yankees want to see another World title.

2010 Regular Season Prediction: 104 Runs 176 Hits 38 HR 116 RBI 16 SB .304 AVG .394 OBP 15 Errors

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3 Responses to 2010 Player Previews: Alex Rodriguez

  1. I'm split on the 2010 prediction, Stephen. On the one hand, you're right to detail the every-other-year patterns of A-Rod, and there is the possibility that, healthy or not, he might adhere to that. If so, those numbers you provided are for most mortals great, for A-Rod just pretty good, and would be welcome–especially if Teixeira mashes. You're also definitely right to speculate on the absence of Matsui and JD. That means Granderson and Cano must produce, presumably, following A-Rod. They must make teams walking A-Rod regret it.

    Yet I cannot also help but wonder if we'll see the "new" A-Rod from the end of the great 2009 championship run carry over into 2010. A-Rod went from bum to prince from the beginning to the end of 2009–steroids admissions, the book trashing him, the injury, media fallout from martial woes. Yet the guy made the lineup far better, and was just a masher savant down the stretch. I genuinely believe that his incredible playoff performances, really right there with Reggie in every way if not greater and certainly more sustained, might have unshackled him from all the past negativity and playoff shortcomings.

    We'll see, and I'd sure take those numbers you post. But I also think that, if A-Rod hits .304, he'll either drive in more than 116, hit more than 38 homers, or both. In most seasons when he's hit .300 or better, he's hit over 40 HR and driven in 120 or more. To me, that's a decent barometer for A-Rod. If the average is there, his power productivity should be very high.

  2. smurfy says:

    My guess is that it was no act. As Alex is human, so I expect he loved the love, and wants much more, better than awe or admiration.

    And if he's wise, he ditch the stat can for every chance to get the runner over.

  3. I think maybe there is a possibility that Alex was having a little bit of a let down after having big offensive seasons in the past. I think that he has had a turning point personality wise and I don't think he's necessarily going to follow the same path.