Via VegasWatch, here is a list, by division, of the initial over/unders on each team’s win total for the 2011 season. The Yankees are predicted to win 91 – certainly not a bad total, but not really up to their standards. I am an optimistic Yankee fan so clearly I would bet on the over here, though I don’t think that’s an unfounded opinion. Many Yankees had terrible years last year and they still won 95 games. This season they’re bringing back mostly the same team except with a few new pieces and minus a half a season of Andy Pettitte. I think they’ll still win at least 93.
Some other ones that stand out (by division):
I would bet the under on the Red Sox at 96 wins, though I don’t think 96 is out of the question. I do think challenging the 1998 Yankees and winning 114 is (which has already been proposed by multiple Boston-area sources). I would bet the over on the Rays and 86. That team will still be very good this year; they have the pieces to easily replace Carl Crawford and Matt Garza and their other young guys will keep getting better.
This promises to be a pretty mediocre division and the over/unders reflect that. I’d consider betting the Indians to surprise a bit and top 71 wins.
The Angels are getting way too much credit for their recent accomplishments; I’d go the under on them. I’d go the over on the A’s – they seem like a good bet to be the Rangers primary competition.
I’d go under on the Phillies and 97. I know – their rotation, blah blah blah. At some point though, that lineup will get exposed, especially if ChaseUtley has injury problems. Domonic Brown‘s ability to replace Jayson Werth will be key. I’d also go over on the Braves. They should at least be as good as they were last year (when they won 91 games) and should eclipse 88.5.
Nothing really stands out to me here, though I’d be tempted to go over on both the Brewers and the Cubs. Brewers seem to be all-in this year and the Cubs are all-in every year.
I’d definitely go under on the Giants and 88.5. Sure, they have a good pitching staff, but their offense is a complete smoke and mirrors show after Buster Posey. I love Tim Lincecum, but his numbers since his rookie campaign have not been trending in the right direction. I like the Dodgers to win more than 82. That team has a ton of talent with Chad Billingsley, Clayton Kershaw, Matt Kemp, etc. Maybe they won’t make the playoffs, but they should be in contention.