Yankees 2011 Season in Review: A.J. Burnett

The biggest concern when the Yankees signed A.J. Burnett was not that he wouldn’t be good enough, but that he wouldn’t be able to stay healthy enough to for the Yankees to get their money’s worth out of him. It’s funny how things work out.

EXPECTATIONS: Burnett was brought to the Bronx to serve as the Yankees no. 2 starter behind CC Sabathia. That was no problem for him in 2009 as the Yankees won the World Series, but his second time around was a disaster. The hope was that with renewed focus and a new pitching coach, Burnett would be able to rebound in 2011.

STRONG START: It seems like a distant memory now, but Burnett actually started out the 2011 season fairly well. In his first 12 starts he had a 3.86 ERA with a 6-3 record. Not bad. Unfortunately it didn’t last.

TURN FOR THE WORST: From June 8 on Burnett was a disaster. He had a 5-8 record with a 5.99 ERA. In the end his strong start only worked to fool the Yankees into thinking their rotation was in better shape than it was. If he hadn’t started out so well maybe Brian Cashman would have been more urgency to land a starter at the deadline.

DROP IN VELOCITY: Every year starting in 2008, Burnett’s last year with the Blue Jays, he has lost velocity. He would be able to hit 100 back in ’07, that dropped to about 96-97 mph range in 2009, 96-95 mph range last year and 94-95 mph. The drop in velocity is normal for a pitcher of his age, but his lack of pitchablity has really hurt his results.

WILD THING: Burnett’s 25 wild pitches were the most since Juan Guzman threw 26 in 1993. Aside from those two only Tony Cloninger (27) has thrown more in a single season since the dead ball era. Talk about wild.

REPERTOIRE: Burnett actually used his changeup a lot more in 2011 (he threw it 10.9 percent of the time compared to just six percent in his career). However, the addition of his third pitch didn’t keep hitters from sitting on his fastball.

GOOD PERIPHERALS: Burnett’s xFIP of 3.86 was strong this season. However, with hitters seemingly sitting fastball on him all season they were able to get the big hits. His HR/9 rate of 1.5 just won’t work for any team anywhere.

VERDICT: Just like his 2010 season, Burnett’s 2011 season will go down as one of the worst seasons by a Yankee starter who qualified for the ERA-title.

GOING FORWARD: He is still under contract for two-years and $33 million so he will likely have a spot waiting for him in the 2012 rotation. If money didn’t matter he would probably never pitch in the Bronx again. Unfortunately it does matter and it likely makes him untradeable too.

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4 Responses to Yankees 2011 Season in Review: A.J. Burnett

  1. Tanned Tom says:

    At least it's only 2 more years, and not, what is it, 25? for A-Rod. Probably he's untradeable, but should the Yanks be willing to assume a portion of his contract, they might be able to move him. They'd have to live with someone like Zambrano, Carlos Lee or Barry Zito or most likely receive minor leaguers of little promise. 2 more years…

  2. Orlando Yankee says:

    For what it is worth, A-Rod was hurting most of this past season and while it might have been worked out better if he had not played, you can't find fault in a player wanting to play. Next Season look for A-Rod to post strong numbers, not as many HR's (30-35) but 110-125 RBI and a .300 average.

    • Fred says:

      I wish I had that kind of optimism man. I'd be ecstatic if Arod hit 300 with 30 homers.

      But I think those days might be behind him.

  3. Davd K. says:

    I'll be ecstatic the day we get rid of A.J. He was barely adequate in 2009. His post season starts were very hit or miss. Remember that game against the Angels where he got banged around. Overall, he has been the worst Yankee starting pitcher ever to continually get the ball every fifth day. I'm not a stats guy, but his stats are no accident. If anything, he has been worse than his stats indicate. He always seems to get off to a decent start early in the year. Then after 4 or 5 starts, he goes into the tank. Every once in a while, he throws a halfway decent game to avoid getting kicked off the team. We had better trade this guy this winter, even if we have eat his entire contract. We're better off trying to develop any rookie into a starter than keeping him another year.